Federal Bank Ltd. share price target

Key Development: Federal Bank Board has approved the preferential issuance of up to 27.3 crore warrants to Blackstone affiliate Asia II Topco XIII Pte. Ltd., raising 6,197 crore. Each warrant, priced at 227, is convertible into one equity share with a face value of 2 and a premium of 225. Upon full conversion, the investor will hold a 9.99% stake and gain the right to nominate one non-executive director to the bank's board. The warrants have an 18-month exercise period, with 25% payment due at subscription and the remaining 75% at conversion. The proposal is...

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

Federal Bank’s pivot toward margin-accretive growth, strengthening its liability profile and improving fee intensity is now further bolstered by the proposed ~INR62b preferential capital infusion from Blackstone.

Federal Bank (FB) has approved up to 9.9% stake dilution to a Blackstone managed fund (fund) via preferential issues of warrants. The transaction would boost pro forma CET 1 by ~280bps (over the next 18 months) and FY27E ABV may rise by ~4%.

Quarterly Update Q2FY26

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock

Healthy revival in Q2; further recovery expected in H2FY26 Q2FY26 performance: Federal Bank delivered a healthy revival in Q2FY26, on the back of margin recovery, healthy fees income, and steady credit cost. NIM expanded 12 bps sequentially to 3.06% aided by lower funding costs and a better loan mix towards mid-yield segments. Advances rose 6% YoY (2% QoQ) to 2,55,613 crore, with traction in commercial banking while deposits rose 11% YoY (2.5% QoQ) to 2,88,920 crore, with CASA ratio improving 66 bps QoQ to 31.01%. Fees income surged 13% QoQ to 886 crore. Credit cost moderated to ~50 bps, in...

We recommend a BUY on the stock with a target price of Rs 214/share, implying an upside of 10% from the CMP.

We value the stock at a Target Price of Rs 240, implying a 20% upside from the CMP, and recommend investors to BUY for the long term.

Federal Bank is steadily evolving into a high-potential challenger in India’s private banking landscape. With a well-diversified loan book across retail (33%), SME (13%), agri (3%) and corporate (28%) segments, the bank is actively reshaping its portfolio towards higher-yielding verticals including gold loans, used CVs, LAP and credit cards.

Federal Bank credit growth slowed down to 9% YoY vs 12% YoY (Q4FY25) vs 16% YoY (Q3FY25) due to reorientation of strategy towards fixed rate book. further, deposit growth declined to 8% YoY vs 12% YoY (FY25) led by term deposits. We expect credit growth at 13% CAGR (FY25-27). NIMs declined by 18bps QoQ during Q1FY26 led by decline in yields backed by repo rate cut impact. Asset quality deteriorated with GNPA at 1.91% vs 84% QoQ. NII grew by 2% YoY led by decline in NIMs; higher non-interest income (up 22% YoY) supported the operating profits (up 4% YoY). Higher provisions impacted profitability (down 15% YoY). This resulted...

FB saw a soft quarter due to weaker NII/NIM and asset quality. Agri/MFI stress led to GNPA blip (provisions at 69bps vs avg. 40-45bps). Additional stress may be lower, though credit costs may remain elevated in Q2'26 due to lag effect. While FB is undergoing transition due to focus on improving asset-liability mix, there could be short term challenges due to NIM pressure and elevated credit costs. However, as earlier guided, momentum in fees was intact and asset mix improved QoQ with lower share of EBLR loans which may protect NIM. Fee...

Federal Bank (FB) reported 1QFY26 earnings of INR8.6b (6% miss) amid a spike in provisions (up 177% YoY/190% QoQ), partly offset by contained opex.

Federal Bank (FB) has demonstrated strong business growth and is rebalancing its portfolio toward medium- and high-yielding segments like LAP, used CVs, gold loans, and credit cards to drive profitability.

We met new MD and CEO KVS Manian and Consumer Banking Head Virat Diwanji (ex-KMB), who gave assurance of their unwavering focus on addressing Federal Bank (FB)’s long-time pain point (margin) mainly via CASA acceleration.

Quarterly Update Q4FY25

FB reported a soft quarter as core PPoP at Rs12.6bn missed PLe by 11% driven by 4.2%/3.9% miss on NII/opex. However, lower provisions (led by corporate recovery) cushioned core PAT which met PLe at Rs8.7bn. In-line with its stated strategy, CA accretion was healthy QoQ. NIM may moderate as 50% of loans are EBLR linked with a T+1 reset. However, it may be cushioned by 1) shift to higher yielding segments 2) change in EBLR reset dates for new disbursals to T+90 and 3) growing fixed rate loans at a higher pace. Opex has been a drag;...

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

Federal Bank (FB) reported 4QFY25 earnings of INR10.3b (12% beat) amid lower provisions and healthy other income. NII was in line, while NIM stood broadly flat (up 1bp QoQ to 3.12%), as the bank focused on reorienting its asset mix with the goal of improving yields and increasing its CASA deposits.